TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed VLO on 20 market nights between June 16, 2026 and October 9, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 9, 2026 | HOLD | $443.80 | $510.37 / $377.23 | not yet | not yet | The stock has run up significantly, and the presence of multiple flags suggests a potential for consolidation or a short-term pullback. |
| October 8, 2026 | BUY | $424.10 | $487.72 / $360.49 | not yet | not yet | The technical setup suggests a short-to-medium term upward move is likely. |
| October 7, 2026 | BUY | $419.22 | $482.10 / $356.34 | not yet | not yet | The technical setup suggests a short-to-medium term upward move. |
| October 6, 2026 | HOLD | $419.33 | — / — | +8.9% | not yet | The current market regime and VLO's risk profile do not warrant a new position at this time. |
| October 5, 2026 | HOLD | $406.30 | — / — | +4.0% | not yet | The current market regime and VLO's risk profile do not warrant a BUY at this time. |
| October 2, 2026 | BUY | $408.46 | $460.48 / $347.19 | +6.8% | not yet | The technical setup suggests a short-to-medium term upward trend. |
| October 1, 2026 | HOLD | $387.61 | $426.37 / $329.47 | +8.7% | not yet | The stock is currently testing resistance, making it prudent to wait for a clearer signal. |
| September 30, 2026 | HOLD | $387.72 | — / — | +9.4% | not yet | The current setup does not warrant a BUY. |
| September 29, 2026 | HOLD | $389.57 | — / — | +8.1% | not yet | The current setup does not warrant a BUY recommendation due to conflicting signals and risk factors. |
| September 22, 2026 | BUY | $393.27 | $452.26 / $334.28 | +2.8% | not yet | The technical setup suggests a continuation of the uptrend, but the high risk score and neutral market regime warrant a shorter-term view. |
| September 21, 2026 | BUY | $413.28 | $462.85 / $371.95 | -0.9% | not yet | The current market regime and VLO's technical setup suggest a short-term trading opportunity. |
| September 18, 2026 | HOLD | $412.53 | $474.41 / $350.65 | -6.3% | not yet | The stock is extended and showing signs of potential consolidation after a recent run-up. |
| August 26, 2026 | BUY | $340.41 | $367.20 / $304.11 | +5.2% | +10.0% | The technical setup suggests a short-term move towards resistance, supported by strong fundamentals and sentiment. |
| August 25, 2026 | HOLD Published signal · reached target +10.5% |
$346.00 | — / — | +6.3% | +10.4% | Strong earnings growth and robust free cash flow generation. |
| August 24, 2026 | BUY | $348.86 | $383.75 / $313.97 | +3.7% | +9.0% | The technical and fundamental teams suggest a bullish outlook that may take several weeks to fully materialize. |
| August 22, 2026 | BUY | $348.86 | $406.17 / $296.53 | +3.7% | +9.0% | The technical setup suggests a near-term upward move, but the risk profile warrants a shorter holding period. |
| August 21, 2026 | BUY | $341.51 | $375.66 / $307.36 | +1.0% | +12.7% | The current setup suggests a short-term breakout potential from resistance, aligning with the bullish fundamental and sentiment signals. |
| August 11, 2026 | BUY | $298.31 | $328.00 / $265.50 | +8.1% | +20.1% | The bullish fundamental and sentiment outlook, combined with a technical oversold bounce signal, suggests a medium-term upward trend. |
| August 10, 2026 | BUY | $298.31 | $328.00 / $265.50 | +10.2% | +21.6% | The bullish fundamental and sentiment outlook, combined with a technical oversold bounce signal, suggests a medium-term upward trend. |
| June 16, 2026 | BUY | $247.16 | $270.00 / $220.50 | -0.7% | +23.0% | The technical setup suggests a short-term oversold bounce, while the fundamental outlook supports a longer-term upward trend. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.