TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed PGY on 16 market nights between April 21, 2026 and September 22, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 22, 2026 | BUY | $20.90 | $25.67 / $17.77 | -16.4% | not yet | The fundamental and sentiment tailwinds suggest a medium-term upward trend, but technicals are currently neutral. |
| September 21, 2026 | HOLD | $20.42 | $24.50 / $17.36 | -18.7% | not yet | The neutral technicals and high risk suggest a cautious approach, waiting for clearer signals. |
| September 18, 2026 | HOLD | $20.56 | $23.64 / $17.46 | -13.7% | not yet | The technicals are bearish and the R/R is not sufficient for a buy. |
| September 14, 2026 | BUY | $19.97 | $26.00 / $17.17 | -2.8% | -19.0% | Pagaya's pullback to moving average support presents a multi-week swing opportunity to capture upward re-rating toward consensus targets as estimate revisions materialize. |
| August 18, 2026 | BUY | $20.93 | $25.12 / $17.78 | +9.6% | +6.5% | The technicals suggest consolidation, but the strong fundamental and sentiment outlook, combined with a neutral market, supports a short-to-medium term bullish trade. |
| August 17, 2026 | BUY | $21.56 | $25.90 / $18.33 | +4.2% | +0.5% | The technical setup suggests a short-term consolidation near resistance, but the strong fundamental and sentiment outlook, coupled with a neutral market, supports a multi-week holding period for poten |
| August 14, 2026 | BUY | $21.46 | $25.50 / $18.24 | +0.6% | -0.3% | The strong fundamental and sentiment tailwinds suggest a potential breakout, but technicals require confirmation. |
| August 13, 2026 | BUY | $20.31 | $25.39 / $17.26 | -5.7% | -6.9% | The stock is consolidating near resistance, suggesting a breakout is imminent, and the fundamental and sentiment teams are bullish. |
| August 6, 2026 | BUY | $21.80 | $25.37 / $18.53 | +0.2% | +6.9% | The post-earnings drift (PEAD) signal suggests continued upward momentum over several weeks. |
| August 5, 2026 | BUY | $21.92 | $25.37 / $18.63 | -6.8% | +0.9% | The post-earnings drift (PEAD) signal and strong bullish technicals suggest a continuation of the upward trend over the coming weeks. |
| July 31, 2026 | BUY | $17.64 | $23.50 / $14.99 | +10.4% | +14.1% | The post-earnings drift signal and strong fundamental/sentiment support suggest a multi-week upward trend. |
| June 30, 2026 | BUY | $16.63 | $21.61 / $14.14 | -6.2% | -11.3% | The insider buying and strong fundamental/sentiment signals suggest a medium-term upward trend is likely to develop. |
| June 26, 2026 | BUY | $15.48 | $21.63 / $13.16 | +17.9% | +6.9% | The insider buying, strong fundamental outlook, and positive sentiment suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| June 9, 2026 | BUY | $15.28 | $18.51 / $12.99 | +5.5% | +20.5% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a short-to-medium term upward trend. |
| June 4, 2026 | BUY | $13.96 | $16.44 / $11.65 | +1.9% | +21.0% | The insider buying and strong fundamental/sentiment signals suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| April 21, 2026 | BUY | $15.07 | $18.05 / $14.58 | -5.9% | -11.7% | Insider buying suggests a medium-term positive outlook. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.