TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed PBF on 21 market nights between April 22, 2026 and September 24, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 24, 2026 | HOLD | $70.47 | $77.00 / $60.00 | +14.5% | not yet | The current setup is a short-term mean-reversion play that is unlikely to sustain for longer periods. |
| September 23, 2026 | BUY | $71.44 | $78.58 / $64.30 | +9.2% | not yet | The RSI pullback suggests a short-term bounce potential. |
| September 18, 2026 | HOLD | $77.16 | — / — | -4.5% | not yet | The current setup does not warrant a buy, and a HOLD is appropriate pending further developments. |
| September 14, 2026 | HOLD | $78.30 | $85.00 / $69.30 | +3.0% | +20.8% | Waiting for either a decisive breakout and consolidation above $80.00 resistance or a pullback toward key moving average support around $73.00. |
| September 2, 2026 | HOLD | $74.99 | — / — | +2.1% | +9.1% | The current market and stock conditions do not present a clear, high-conviction trading opportunity. |
| August 11, 2026 | SELL | $61.71 | — / — | +8.4% | +10.3% | Potential for a breakout above the $62.50 resistance level with sustained bullish momentum. |
| August 10, 2026 | SELL | $61.71 | — / — | +13.2% | +15.8% | Potential for a breakout above the $62.50 resistance level with sustained bullish momentum. |
| August 6, 2026 | SELL | $61.17 | — / — | +21.4% | +23.0% | Strong earnings surprise with a significant EPS beat. |
| August 5, 2026 | BUY | $65.89 | $81.70 / $55.91 | +15.0% | +23.4% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a sustained upward move. |
| August 4, 2026 | BUY | $67.91 | $81.49 / $57.72 | +5.2% | +13.8% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests momentum could continue for several weeks. |
| August 3, 2026 | BUY | $72.28 | — / — | -2.4% | +7.5% | The market is neutral, and while PBF has a strong technical setup, the risk profile and mixed fundamental/sentiment analysis warrant caution. |
| July 31, 2026 | BUY | $73.10 | — / — | -14.6% | -1.4% | The market is neutral, and while technicals are bullish, fundamental and sentiment are mixed, with high risk. |
| July 21, 2026 | BUY | $63.85 | — / — | -7.7% | +13.8% | Continued strength in refining margins. |
| July 20, 2026 | BUY | $62.75 | — / — | -1.7% | +17.6% | Continued positive news sentiment driven by strong refining margins and beneficial geopolitical factors. |
| July 17, 2026 | BUY | $60.94 | — / — | -1.8% | +14.5% | The scanner signal suggests a short-term post-earnings drift, but fundamental and risk concerns warrant caution. |
| July 16, 2026 | BUY | $58.76 | — / — | +1.7% | +22.0% | Continued positive momentum from the post-earnings gap. |
| July 15, 2026 | BUY | $60.89 | — / — | +9.5% | +19.7% | The PEAD signal suggests potential for continued drift, but fundamental concerns and risk factors warrant caution. |
| July 14, 2026 | BUY | $57.44 | — / — | +8.5% | +13.9% | Continued strength in refining margins. |
| July 13, 2026 | BUY | $53.18 | — / — | +11.2% | +15.4% | Continued strength in refining market conditions. |
| July 9, 2026 | SELL | $52.90 | — / — | +14.3% | +14.9% | Strong refining margins continue to support operational improvements. |
| April 22, 2026 | SELL | $40.69 | — / — | +6.6% | +3.2% | Major news catalyst driving today's surge. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.