TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed NVDA on 33 market nights between May 18, 2026 and October 12, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 12, 2026 | BUY | $229.28 | $252.21 / $194.89 | not yet | not yet | The strong fundamental and sentiment tailwinds suggest a sustained upward trend, but the neutral technicals and high risk warrant a medium-term outlook. |
| October 5, 2026 | HOLD | $233.95 | $270.00 / $200.00 | -5.3% | not yet | The stock is currently at a resistance level and the technicals are neutral, suggesting a period of consolidation before a clear directional move. |
| September 28, 2026 | HOLD | $225.07 | — / — | +4.4% | not yet | The current market regime and NVDA's technicals do not present a clear directional opportunity for a BUY. |
| September 21, 2026 | BUY | $222.27 | $255.61 / $188.93 | +0.7% | not yet | The strong fundamental outlook and positive sentiment suggest a medium-term upward trend, but technicals indicate consolidation. |
| September 14, 2026 | BUY | $218.29 | $268.00 / $191.00 | +7.8% | +7.3% | Capture the next phase of Blackwell production deployment and hyperscaler earnings delivery over a multi-month swing. |
| September 11, 2026 | BUY Published signal · open +4.7% |
$218.36 | $262.03 / $185.61 | +1.8% | +5.0% | The strong fundamental and sentiment drivers suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| September 10, 2026 | BUY | $223.67 | $270.62 / $190.12 | +0.5% | +5.5% | The strong fundamental and sentiment tailwinds suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| September 9, 2026 | BUY | $225.73 | $270.88 / $191.87 | -4.4% | +6.2% | The strong fundamental and sentiment tailwinds suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| September 8, 2026 | BUY | $230.36 | $276.43 / $207.32 | -6.0% | +6.0% | The strong fundamental and sentiment tailwinds suggest a sustained upward move. |
| September 7, 2026 | BUY | $230.36 | $276.43 / $195.81 | -6.0% | +6.0% | The fundamental strength and positive sentiment suggest a medium-term upward trend, but technical consolidation requires patience. |
| September 4, 2026 | BUY | $228.45 | $262.72 / $205.61 | -8.4% | +3.7% | The strong fundamental and sentiment tailwinds suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| September 3, 2026 | HOLD | $224.41 | — / — | -4.5% | +2.4% | The current market regime and NVDA's technical setup do not warrant a new position at this time. |
| September 2, 2026 | BUY | $217.44 | $250.00 / $184.82 | -2.7% | +2.9% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a sustained upward move. |
| September 1, 2026 | BUY | $220.78 | $247.08 / $188.28 | +2.9% | +5.0% | The post-earnings drift (PEAD) signal suggests continued upward momentum over the coming weeks. |
| August 31, 2026 | BUY | $217.55 | $250.70 / $185.30 | +2.2% | +2.9% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a sustained upward move. |
| August 28, 2026 | BUY | $227.98 | $264.60 / $193.80 | +5.9% | +5.2% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a multi-week opportunity. |
| August 27, 2026 | HOLD | $209.66 | — / — | +0.2% | -1.3% | The current market regime is neutral, and NVDA's technicals are also neutral, preventing a conviction-based buy. |
| August 26, 2026 | HOLD | $213.05 | — / — | +7.0% | +7.1% | The current market regime is neutral, and while NVDA has strong fundamental support, the technicals are neutral and the risk profile is high, necessitating a cautious approach. |
| August 25, 2026 | HOLD | $208.48 | — / — | +2.1% | +5.8% | The current market and stock conditions do not warrant a new position. |
| June 22, 2026 | BUY | $210.69 | $235.00 / $184.17 | -6.6% | -0.7% | The fundamental and sentiment teams are strongly bullish, suggesting a medium-term upward trend. |
| June 19, 2026 | BUY | $210.69 | $247.25 / $182.75 | -6.6% | -0.7% | The current technical consolidation suggests a short-term holding period before a potential breakout. |
| June 16, 2026 | BUY | $212.45 | $244.32 / $180.58 | -4.0% | -0.0% | The fundamental and sentiment tailwinds suggest a sustained upward move, but technical consolidation requires patience. |
| June 10, 2026 | BUY | $208.19 | $235.75 / $174.25 | +2.1% | +5.3% | The fundamental and sentiment tailwinds suggest a sustained upward move, but technical consolidation requires patience. |
| June 9, 2026 | BUY | $208.64 | — / — | -0.4% | -2.6% | The market regime is neutral, and NVDA's technicals are neutral, preventing a conviction buy. |
| June 5, 2026 | BUY | $218.66 | — / — | +0.0% | -4.0% | Continued AI demand driving revenue and earnings growth. |
| May 27, 2026 | BUY | $214.86 | $250.25 / $182.75 | +1.0% | -7.9% | The post-earnings drift signal and strong fundamental/sentiment support a medium-term outlook. |
| May 26, 2026 | BUY | $215.33 | $247.63 / $183.03 | +3.7% | -7.4% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a period of upward momentum that typically plays out over several weeks. |
| May 25, 2026 | BUY | $215.33 | $250.00 / $183.03 | +3.7% | -7.4% | The post-earnings drift signal and strong fundamental/sentiment support suggest a sustained upward move. |
| May 22, 2026 | BUY | $219.51 | $252.44 / $186.58 | +4.2% | -7.1% | The PEAD signal from the recent earnings beat suggests a short-term upward momentum. |
| May 21, 2026 | BUY | $223.47 | $234.64 / $189.95 | -3.8% | -5.0% | The market regime is neutral, and while NVDA has strong bullish sentiment and technicals, the high risk score and lack of a clear catalyst for a buy decision necessitate a HOLD. |
| May 20, 2026 | HOLD | $220.61 | — / — | -4.1% | -5.7% | Continued strong demand for AI chips and data center solutions. |
| May 19, 2026 | BUY | $225.32 | — / — | -3.6% | -7.2% | Continued strong demand for AI chips and NVIDIA's dominant market position. |
| May 18, 2026 | BUY | $225.32 | — / — | -3.4% | -6.7% | Continued strong demand for AI chips and NVIDIA's dominant market position. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.