TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed MTCH on 13 market nights between May 11, 2026 and September 28, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 28, 2026 | HOLD | $40.55 | — / — | +2.1% | not yet | The current market regime and the stock's technical and risk profile do not support a buy recommendation. |
| September 25, 2026 | HOLD | $40.80 | — / — | -0.6% | not yet | The current setup does not warrant a BUY. |
| September 24, 2026 | HOLD | $40.48 | — / — | -1.6% | not yet | The current setup does not warrant a BUY, so the time horizon is irrelevant. |
| August 18, 2026 | BUY | $37.22 | $40.00 / $30.18 | +9.0% | +12.6% | The insider buying and fundamental strength suggest a medium-term recovery play. |
| August 14, 2026 | BUY | $37.28 | — / — | +7.7% | +13.7% | Insider buying from Glenn Schiffman provides a positive fundamental signal. |
| August 6, 2026 | BUY | $38.15 | $42.00 / $31.88 | +1.8% | +15.9% | The fundamental strength and potential for a mean-reversion bounce suggest a medium-term opportunity. |
| August 5, 2026 | HOLD | $41.24 | — / — | -4.1% | +11.2% | Potential for a 52-week breakout to continue momentum. |
| August 4, 2026 | HOLD | $40.54 | — / — | -10.8% | +1.6% | Continued momentum from the 52-week breakout if it can sustain. |
| May 15, 2026 | HOLD | $35.73 | — / — | +1.1% | +1.5% | Continued positive momentum from Q1 earnings and improving engagement metrics on key platforms. |
| May 14, 2026 | BUY | $36.07 | $39.78 / $32.46 | -0.2% | -2.4% | The neutral market regime and the inability to achieve the minimum R/R of 1.5 at current levels necessitate a HOLD. |
| May 13, 2026 | BUY | $35.36 | — / — | -0.2% | -4.2% | Continued positive momentum from Q1 earnings beat and signs of a Tinder turnaround. |
| May 12, 2026 | BUY | $35.77 | $38.00 / $30.40 | -0.0% | -2.9% | The current market regime is neutral, and while there are positive fundamental factors, the bearish technicals and high risk score necessitate a cautious approach. |
| May 11, 2026 | BUY | $36.96 | — / — | +0.3% | -2.9% | Continued positive momentum from Q1 earnings beat and analyst upgrades. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.