TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed MSFT on 31 market nights between April 15, 2026 and October 13, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 13, 2026 | BUY | $541.15 | $595.27 / $509.48 | not yet | not yet | The setup is based on strong fundamental and sentiment tailwinds, suggesting a medium-term upward trend. |
| October 12, 2026 | BUY | $535.07 | $610.18 / $492.26 | not yet | not yet | The strong fundamental and technical outlook suggests a sustained upward trend. |
| October 9, 2026 | BUY | $522.61 | $577.50 / $483.00 | not yet | not yet | The strong fundamental and technical outlook suggests a multi-week trend. |
| August 31, 2026 | BUY | $513.53 | $554.46 / $481.71 | -2.6% | +0.3% | The technical setup suggests a potential breakout above resistance, and the fundamental strength provides a solid base for sustained upward movement over a few weeks. |
| August 28, 2026 | BUY | $505.06 | $575.67 / $464.65 | -2.7% | -0.8% | The technical setup suggests a potential breakout after consolidation, supported by strong fundamental and sentiment tailwinds. |
| August 27, 2026 | BUY | $496.37 | $526.23 / $456.66 | +1.0% | +2.2% | The fundamental strength and positive news sentiment suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| August 26, 2026 | BUY | $491.71 | $566.80 / $442.80 | +0.1% | +0.3% | The bullish fundamental and sentiment signals, combined with a neutral technical outlook, suggest a period of consolidation before a potential upward move driven by AI and cloud growth. |
| August 25, 2026 | BUY | $487.31 | $526.50 / $436.50 | +1.9% | +1.8% | The fundamental and sentiment teams are strongly bullish, suggesting a medium-term upward trend is likely to develop. |
| August 24, 2026 | BUY | $483.24 | $531.57 / $434.92 | +4.1% | +2.2% | The setup requires a breakout from consolidation, which typically takes time to develop. |
| August 22, 2026 | BUY | $483.24 | $540.00 / $434.92 | +4.1% | +2.2% | The technical setup suggests a potential breakout after consolidation, aligning with strong fundamental and sentiment drivers. |
| August 21, 2026 | BUY | $481.15 | $520.25 / $440.00 | +6.3% | +3.8% | The technical setup suggests a near-term upward move, supported by strong fundamentals and sentiment, but the risk profile warrants a shorter-term horizon. |
| August 18, 2026 | BUY | $480.35 | $528.39 / $432.31 | +2.1% | +1.8% | The fundamental and sentiment teams are strongly bullish, suggesting a medium-term upward trend. |
| August 17, 2026 | BUY | $495.40 | $530.00 / $445.86 | +1.4% | +3.5% | The technical setup suggests a potential breakout from consolidation, and fundamental strength provides a solid base for upside over a few weeks. |
| August 14, 2026 | BUY | $496.88 | $521.85 / $447.30 | -2.5% | +2.0% | The technicals suggest a potential breakout above resistance, and the fundamental and sentiment teams are strongly bullish, indicating a medium-term upward trend. |
| August 13, 2026 | BUY | $492.43 | $566.80 / $443.19 | -3.2% | -0.2% | The setup requires a breakout from consolidation, which typically takes time to develop. |
| August 11, 2026 | BUY | $499.99 | $530.00 / $450.00 | -4.4% | -2.4% | The current market regime and MSFT's strong fundamentals suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| August 10, 2026 | BUY | $499.99 | $530.00 / $450.00 | -5.1% | -2.4% | The current market regime and MSFT's strong fundamentals suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| August 6, 2026 | BUY | $487.46 | $535.00 / $438.71 | -0.6% | +2.0% | The current market regime and strong fundamental outlook suggest a medium-term upward trend. |
| July 21, 2026 | BUY | $402.29 | $427.22 / $364.50 | -1.1% | +21.1% | The fundamental and sentiment teams are strongly bullish, suggesting a longer-term upward trend is likely to play out. |
| May 29, 2026 | BUY | $426.99 | $476.36 / $397.20 | -7.5% | -18.1% | The bullish fundamental and sentiment signals, combined with a neutral technical setup, suggest a medium-term upward trend is likely to develop. |
| May 25, 2026 | BUY | $418.57 | — / — | +6.1% | -12.2% | The current market regime is neutral, and while MSFT has strong fundamentals, the technicals are neutral and the risk score is elevated, requiring a clearer catalyst for a buy. |
| May 21, 2026 | BUY | $421.06 | $474.45 / $386.78 | +7.4% | -12.3% | The current technical setup suggests a short-term bounce opportunity from support, aligning with the bullish fundamental outlook. |
| May 20, 2026 | BUY | $417.42 | — / — | +1.4% | -9.9% | Continued strong performance in Azure and AI-driven services. |
| May 19, 2026 | BUY | $421.92 | $470.55 / $392.19 | -1.1% | -9.2% | The neutral market regime and mixed technical signals necessitate a wait-and-see approach for a clearer entry. |
| May 18, 2026 | BUY | $421.92 | $470.55 / $392.19 | -1.8% | -7.0% | The neutral market regime and mixed technical signals necessitate a wait-and-see approach for a clearer entry. |
| May 15, 2026 | BUY | $409.43 | — / — | -0.8% | -5.2% | Continued AI and cloud growth momentum. |
| May 14, 2026 | BUY | $405.21 | $430.00 / $376.85 | +2.4% | -4.6% | The neutral market regime and mixed technical signals necessitate a wait-and-see approach. |
| May 13, 2026 | BUY | $407.77 | $456.59 / $375.15 | +3.9% | -3.7% | The market is neutral, and while fundamentals are bullish, technicals are neutral, requiring a clearer catalyst for a buy. |
| May 12, 2026 | BUY | $412.66 | — / — | +2.4% | -2.5% | The market is neutral, and while fundamentals are bullish, technicals are neutral and risk is medium, requiring a clearer catalyst. |
| May 11, 2026 | BUY | $415.12 | $432.00 / $383.98 | +2.6% | -2.2% | The neutral market regime and mixed technical signals necessitate a cautious approach, waiting for clearer directional conviction. |
| April 15, 2026 | HOLD | $393.11 | $371.97 / $371.97 | +5.3% | -1.5% | Strong revenue and earnings growth. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.