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JEF (Jefferies Financial Group Inc.): every AI call and what happened next

TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed JEF on 10 market nights between May 5, 2026 and October 5, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.

10 calls 5 BUY · 5 HOLD · 0 SELL BUY calls up after 20 trading days: 2 of 5
DateVerdictPriceTarget / stop5 days later20 days laterWhy (that night)
October 5, 2026 HOLD $45.97 — / — -1.8% not yet
The current setup does not warrant a trade.
October 2, 2026 HOLD $45.25 — / — -3.5% not yet
The current market regime and the stock's technical weakness necessitate a cautious approach, awaiting clearer signals.
October 1, 2026 HOLD $45.73 — / — -1.9% not yet
The current setup does not warrant a buy due to conflicting team signals and risk assessment.
September 30, 2026 HOLD $46.52 $51.17 / $39.54 -3.5% not yet
The earnings surprise is a positive catalyst, but the bearish technicals and high risk warrant a cautious approach.
August 25, 2026 HOLD $51.91 — / — -0.9% -10.4%
Significant insider buying from Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc.
August 22, 2026 BUY $52.33 — / — +1.4% -8.7%
Insider buying from a major financial institution (SMFG) signals high conviction.
July 22, 2026 BUY $56.74 — / — -1.5% -4.3%
The current market conditions and the stock's neutral technical and fundamental outlook do not warrant a new position.
July 20, 2026 BUY $54.87 — / — +1.9% -1.1%
The current market and stock-specific conditions do not support a new entry.
June 30, 2026 BUY $48.78 — / — +2.2% +10.2%
Significant insider buying from a major financial institution.
May 5, 2026 BUY $48.57 — / — +4.9% +5.5%
Significant insider buying from a major financial institution (SMFG).

Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.