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FROG (JFrog Ltd.): every AI call and what happened next

TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed FROG on 58 market nights between February 24, 2026 and October 5, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.

58 calls 35 BUY · 21 HOLD · 2 SELL BUY calls up after 20 trading days: 22 of 35
DateVerdictPriceTarget / stop5 days later20 days laterWhy (that night)
October 5, 2026 HOLD $95.50 — / — +1.2% not yet
The current setup does not warrant a buy due to mixed signals and risk factors.
October 2, 2026 HOLD $97.59 — / — +7.0% not yet
The current market conditions and the stock's technical and fundamental profile do not support a BUY recommendation.
October 1, 2026 HOLD $97.04 — / — -0.3% not yet
The current setup does not warrant a buy.
September 30, 2026 HOLD $90.37 — / — +1.1% not yet
The current market and stock-specific factors do not support a directional trade.
September 28, 2026 HOLD $89.18 — / — +10.2% not yet
The current setup does not warrant a trade.
September 25, 2026 HOLD $94.20 — / — +7.1% not yet
The current setup does not warrant a buy.
September 24, 2026 HOLD $92.33 — / — +3.6% not yet
The current setup does not warrant a BUY recommendation due to conflicting signals and risk factors.
September 23, 2026 HOLD $89.95 — / — +5.1% not yet
The current setup does not present a clear directional bias or sufficient risk/reward to warrant a trade.
September 22, 2026 HOLD $92.00 — / — +0.5% not yet
The current market regime and stock-specific factors do not support a BUY recommendation.
September 21, 2026 HOLD $92.81 — / — -3.5% not yet
The current setup does not warrant a buy due to mixed signals and high risk.
September 18, 2026 HOLD $93.98 — / — -3.9% not yet
The current setup does not warrant a BUY, and a HOLD is appropriate until a clearer directional signal emerges.
September 17, 2026 HOLD $92.62 — / — +0.2% not yet
JFrog exhibits exceptional SaaS unit economics (57% Rule of 40, 121% NRR, 77.86% gross margins).
September 16, 2026 HOLD $94.80 — / — -0.3% not yet
Waiting for a clearer technical setup and reduced risk profile.
September 15, 2026 HOLD $93.00 — / — -5.1% +4.7%
A viable trade setup with a minimum 1.5 Risk/Reward ratio cannot be achieved with the given price levels.
September 4, 2026 HOLD $90.61 — / — +6.2% +11.7%
The current market and stock-specific factors do not present a clear, high-conviction opportunity for a BUY.
September 3, 2026 HOLD $91.73 — / — -3.8% +5.4%
The current market and stock setup does not warrant a buy.
September 2, 2026 HOLD $91.78 — / — -3.4% +6.4%
Strong revenue growth and high gross margins indicate a robust business model.
September 1, 2026 BUY $100.07 $125.09 / $85.06 -4.9% +5.7%
The technical setup suggests a near-term upward move, but fundamental and risk factors warrant a shorter holding period.
August 31, 2026 HOLD $98.74 — / — -13.3% -9.7%
Continued positive analyst ratings and new product launches focused on AI security.
August 28, 2026 BUY $104.03 $124.56 / $88.23 -11.3% -10.1%
The setup is a 52-week breakout, suggesting potential for continued momentum over a few weeks.
July 21, 2026 BUY $90.43 — / — -11.7% +5.8%
The stock is currently at a resistance level with neutral technicals and mixed sentiment, making it unsuitable for a new entry.
July 20, 2026 BUY $88.54 — / — -10.2% +4.7%
The current market and stock setup does not warrant a trade.
July 17, 2026 BUY $86.53 — / — -9.5% +8.6%
The current setup does not meet the criteria for a buy.
July 16, 2026 HOLD $91.28 — / — -6.1% +10.0%
Strategic partnerships and strong analyst ratings are driving positive sentiment.
July 15, 2026 BUY $91.17 $105.00 / $77.50 -12.7% -5.7%
The technical setup suggests a potential breakout above resistance, and the positive sentiment and fundamental strength support a medium-term outlook.
July 14, 2026 BUY $92.02 $105.82 / $82.82 -5.1% -5.6%
The technical setup suggests a potential breakout, and the bullish sentiment supports a medium-term move.
July 13, 2026 BUY $90.74 $107.40 / $76.08 -1.7% -4.2%
The technical setup suggests a potential breakout, and the fundamental and sentiment teams provide a supportive backdrop for a multi-week move.
July 10, 2026 BUY $95.50 — / — -2.4% -1.3%
The current market regime and the stock's mixed team signals do not warrant a directional trade at this time.
July 9, 2026 BUY $92.73 $111.28 / $78.82 -9.4% -13.1%
The technical setup suggests a short-to-medium term upward trend.
July 8, 2026 BUY $96.20 $115.44 / $81.77 -1.6% -8.8%
The technical setup suggests a short-to-medium term upward trend.
July 7, 2026 BUY $94.81 — / — -5.2% -10.4%
Technical momentum strengthening across RSI, MACD, and Stochastic.
July 6, 2026 BUY $94.81 — / — -6.2% -16.0%
Technical momentum strengthening across RSI, MACD, and Stochastic.
July 3, 2026 BUY $94.81 $113.77 / $80.59 -6.2% -16.0%
The technical setup suggests a short-to-medium term upward move is likely, but fundamental concerns and high risk warrant a shorter time horizon.
July 2, 2026 BUY $90.39 — / — -4.3% -15.8%
The current setup does not meet the criteria for a buy recommendation.
July 1, 2026 BUY $90.88 $117.00 / $77.15 +5.7% -13.2%
The technical setup and positive sentiment suggest a near-term upward move, while fundamental strength supports longer-term growth.
June 30, 2026 BUY $90.09 $108.11 / $76.58 +2.0% -19.4%
The technical setup suggests a potential breakout, but fundamental concerns and high risk warrant a medium-term view.
June 25, 2026 BUY $76.66 — / — +20.3% +1.7%
Continued positive retail and institutional sentiment.
June 22, 2026 BUY $82.72 — / — +12.8% +8.3%
Continued positive analyst sentiment and price target raises.
June 19, 2026 BUY $82.72 — / — +12.8% +8.3%
Strong Q1 earnings and robust cloud revenue growth.
June 9, 2026 BUY $85.67 $102.80 / $72.80 -3.4% +17.5%
The post-earnings drift signal suggests a multi-week trend.
June 5, 2026 BUY $86.16 — / — -7.5% +14.5%
The market regime is neutral, and while technicals are bullish, the fundamental analysis is bearish, creating a mixed signal.
June 4, 2026 BUY $83.86 $105.00 / $71.29 -8.9% +13.9%
The technical setup suggests a continuation of the bullish trend with potential for significant upside over a few weeks.
June 3, 2026 BUY $88.05 $105.66 / $74.84 -4.2% +13.1%
The technical setup suggests a continuation of the bullish trend, and the fundamental and sentiment teams support further upside.
June 2, 2026 BUY $88.31 $105.97 / $75.07 -7.7% +2.7%
The technical setup suggests a breakout that could sustain for several weeks, aligning with the sentiment-driven momentum.
June 1, 2026 BUY $79.48 $95.38 / $67.56 -3.0% +2.9%
The technical setup suggests an immediate upward move, but the high risk score warrants a shorter-term horizon.
May 28, 2026 BUY $71.38 — / — +18.4% +20.4%
Strong analyst support and positive retail sentiment.
May 27, 2026 BUY $73.01 $87.61 / $62.06 +17.5% +10.4%
The technical setup suggests a continuation of the uptrend, and the fundamental and sentiment tailwinds provide support for a medium-term move.
May 26, 2026 BUY $73.99 $91.00 / $62.90 +20.6% +5.0%
The technical setup suggests a breakout is imminent, but fundamental and risk factors warrant a shorter-term horizon.
May 25, 2026 BUY $73.99 $97.71 / $64.08 +20.6% +5.0%
The technical setup suggests a strong uptrend with potential for further upside, but the high risk score and valuation concerns warrant a medium-term outlook.
May 22, 2026 HOLD $71.44 — / — +19.4% +6.4%
Continued acceleration in cloud revenue growth.
May 21, 2026 BUY $73.43 $84.67 / $62.42 +11.2% +11.8%
The current market regime and risk profile do not support a buy decision.
May 20, 2026 HOLD $70.63 — / — -0.9% +12.7%
May 19, 2026 BUY $66.16 $70.00 / $56.24 +1.1% +15.2%
The stock is consolidating near resistance, and the current market regime requires a clear catalyst for a buy.
May 18, 2026 BUY $66.16 $70.00 / $56.24 +7.5% +15.6%
The stock is consolidating near resistance, and the current market regime requires a clear catalyst for a buy.
May 15, 2026 BUY $65.08 $70.00 / $55.32 +11.8% +21.5%
The stock is currently consolidating near resistance, and a clear catalyst is needed for a buy decision in this neutral market.
May 12, 2026 BUY $69.01 $82.81 / $58.66 +4.6% +19.0%
The post-earnings drift (PEAD) signal suggests continued upward momentum following a strong earnings beat.
May 11, 2026 SELL $70.55 — / — -1.6% +17.8%
Strong Q1 earnings beat and raised guidance.
February 24, 2026 SELL — $33.92 / $41.46 +13.6% +15.0%

Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.