TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed DLTR on 18 market nights between May 29, 2026 and October 12, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 12, 2026 | HOLD | $118.64 | $136.42 / $100.84 | not yet | not yet | The stock is in a neutral market regime with mixed signals across teams, suggesting a period of observation is warranted. |
| October 5, 2026 | HOLD | $112.16 | — / — | +3.9% | not yet | The current market regime and DLTR's neutral team scores do not support a BUY recommendation. |
| September 28, 2026 | HOLD | $114.07 | — / — | -2.4% | not yet | The current market regime and stock-specific factors do not support a directional trade. |
| September 21, 2026 | HOLD | $111.96 | — / — | +3.3% | not yet | The current market and stock conditions do not present a clear, high-conviction opportunity for a BUY. |
| September 14, 2026 | HOLD | $118.17 | $130.74 / $109.39 | -5.7% | -1.3% | Dollar Tree needs several weeks to establish a durable base at support following technical breakdown and Family Dollar restructuring headwinds. |
| September 7, 2026 | HOLD | $131.42 | — / — | -9.1% | -6.3% | The current market and stock setup does not warrant a directional trade. |
| September 4, 2026 | HOLD | $131.04 | $150.70 / $111.38 | -9.3% | -13.9% | The current market regime is neutral, and while DLTR has bullish technicals, the overall team conviction is not strong enough for a buy. |
| September 3, 2026 | HOLD | $131.91 | — / — | -9.8% | -14.4% | The current market regime and stock-specific factors do not support a BUY recommendation at this time. |
| September 2, 2026 | HOLD | $131.71 | — / — | -10.0% | -13.2% | Strong Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year guidance. |
| September 1, 2026 | HOLD | $126.59 | — / — | -10.1% | -13.4% | The current market regime is neutral, and while DLTR has a strong earnings surprise, the technicals are neutral and the risk profile is high, preventing a buy recommendation. |
| August 31, 2026 | HOLD | $128.26 | — / — | -2.0% | -10.5% | Awaiting clearer directional signals and a more favorable risk-reward setup. |
| August 28, 2026 | HOLD | $127.00 | — / — | +2.5% | -9.5% | Strong Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year guidance. |
| July 24, 2026 | BUY | $117.65 | — / — | +5.6% | +9.2% | Potential for a consumer shift to discount retailers in a challenging economic environment. |
| June 4, 2026 | BUY | $112.50 | — / — | +5.1% | +11.2% | Awaiting clearer market direction and stock-specific catalysts. |
| June 3, 2026 | BUY | $109.39 | — / — | -1.9% | +10.3% | Strong Q1 earnings beat and raised guidance. |
| June 2, 2026 | BUY | $111.35 | $135.00 / $95.63 | +2.5% | +10.8% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a potential upward trend over the coming weeks. |
| June 1, 2026 | BUY | $116.44 | $138.76 / $100.61 | -3.3% | +8.6% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a potential upward trend that could take several weeks to fully play out. |
| May 29, 2026 | BUY | $113.00 | — / — | -6.6% | +5.3% | Post-earnings drift (PEAD) signal following a strong EPS beat. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.