TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed AXTI on 16 market nights between February 25, 2026 and October 9, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 9, 2026 | HOLD | $71.66 | — / — | not yet | not yet | The current setup does not warrant a BUY recommendation, necessitating a HOLD. |
| September 21, 2026 | BUY | $70.03 | $88.14 / $59.53 | -7.8% | not yet | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a multi-week upward trend. |
| August 11, 2026 | HOLD | $88.58 | — / — | +11.6% | -6.6% | The current price is at resistance, and the risk/reward is not favorable for an entry. |
| August 10, 2026 | HOLD | $88.58 | — / — | +30.0% | -5.8% | The current price is at resistance, and the risk/reward is not favorable for an entry. |
| August 7, 2026 | BUY | $75.17 | — / — | -7.8% | -30.4% | Continued strong demand for InP substrates driven by AI and data center growth. |
| August 6, 2026 | BUY | $68.61 | — / — | +3.0% | -25.2% | Strong Q2 earnings beat and record revenues driven by AI demand for InP substrates. |
| August 5, 2026 | BUY | $65.27 | — / — | +14.4% | -17.0% | The current market regime is bullish, but AXTI's internal team scores and risk assessment do not meet the criteria for a buy. |
| August 4, 2026 | BUY | $68.67 | — / — | +13.0% | -14.0% | The current price is near resistance, and the technicals are mixed, suggesting a need for further price action confirmation. |
| August 3, 2026 | HOLD | $60.43 | — / — | +7.5% | -11.7% | The current market regime and stock-specific factors do not present a clear, high-conviction trading opportunity. |
| June 9, 2026 | SELL | $90.78 | — / — | +18.7% | -20.2% | Continued strong demand for AI-related products. |
| June 5, 2026 | BUY | $105.99 | — / — | +9.1% | -34.7% | Continued strong demand for indium phosphide wafers driven by AI applications. |
| May 12, 2026 | SELL | $125.81 | — / — | -8.2% | -30.6% | Continued AI demand driving revenue growth. |
| May 11, 2026 | BUY | $116.36 | — / — | -15.8% | -37.7% | Continued AI-driven demand for InP wafers. |
| April 20, 2026 | SELL | $82.56 | — / $61.67 | -10.9% | +34.4% | |
| April 17, 2026 | SELL | $81.78 | — / $60.72 | -7.8% | +49.9% | |
| February 25, 2026 | BUY | — | $55.00 / $26.00 | -4.5% | +64.4% |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.