TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed AVAV on 12 market nights between April 21, 2026 and September 16, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 16, 2026 | HOLD | $156.99 | — / — | -0.3% | not yet | Awaiting clearer risk profile and broader bullish consensus before considering a directional trade. |
| September 15, 2026 | BUY | $153.40 | $176.03 / $149.35 | -0.5% | -19.0% | The PEAD signal and anticipated fundamental turnaround suggest a multi-week holding period for price appreciation. |
| September 14, 2026 | HOLD | $146.71 | $176.03 / $132.77 | +4.9% | -14.3% | Awaiting a clean breakout above immediate overhead resistance or a base consolidation following the earnings surge before committing capital. |
| September 11, 2026 | BUY | $147.07 | $176.48 / $125.01 | +9.0% | -6.5% | The post-earnings drift and strong backlog growth suggest a sustained upward move. |
| September 10, 2026 | HOLD | $140.80 | — / — | +11.1% | -6.4% | The current market regime and the stock's neutral technicals do not support an immediate buy. |
| July 7, 2026 | BUY | $190.89 | — / — | -11.7% | +4.0% | The market regime is neutral, and the stock's technical and fundamental analyses are bearish, outweighing the positive sentiment. |
| July 6, 2026 | BUY | $190.89 | — / — | -19.8% | -10.0% | The market regime is neutral, and the stock's technical and fundamental analyses are bearish, outweighing the positive sentiment. |
| July 3, 2026 | HOLD | $190.89 | — / — | -19.8% | -10.0% | The market regime is neutral, and the stock's technical and fundamental analyses are bearish, overriding the positive earnings surprise. |
| July 2, 2026 | BUY | $172.44 | — / — | -24.3% | -21.8% | The stock's technicals are bearish, and while sentiment is bullish due to earnings, the fundamental picture is neutral with profitability concerns. |
| July 1, 2026 | BUY | $165.07 | — / — | -13.9% | -15.0% | The stock is currently in a bearish technical trend despite positive sentiment and a recent earnings beat. |
| April 22, 2026 | BUY | $210.07 | — / — | -12.7% | -22.0% | Successful technology demonstrations |
| April 21, 2026 | BUY | $197.23 | $228.18 / $191.95 | -8.4% | -23.7% | Based on the bullish technicals and the insider buying signal, I expect the price to reach the resistance level within a few weeks. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.