TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed ARM on 20 market nights between May 7, 2026 and October 9, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 9, 2026 | HOLD | $275.29 | — / — | not yet | not yet | The current market regime and stock-specific factors do not support a directional trade at this time. |
| September 24, 2026 | HOLD | $332.56 | — / — | -4.6% | not yet | The current market regime and stock-specific factors do not support a BUY recommendation at this time. |
| July 7, 2026 | HOLD | $315.28 | — / — | -6.4% | -6.6% | Continued AI-driven demand for ARM's architecture. |
| July 6, 2026 | HOLD | $315.28 | — / — | -7.2% | -25.8% | Continued AI-driven demand for ARM's architecture. |
| July 3, 2026 | BUY | $315.28 | — / — | -7.2% | -25.8% | Continued AI-driven demand for ARM's architecture. |
| July 2, 2026 | HOLD | $337.47 | — / — | +2.6% | -24.0% | The current market regime and stock-specific factors do not support a new entry. |
| June 30, 2026 | BUY | $343.58 | — / — | -15.3% | -36.6% | Continued AI data center expansion and new CPU introductions driving demand. |
| June 23, 2026 | BUY | $407.72 | — / — | -3.2% | -22.6% | Continued AI and data center demand driving strong revenue growth. |
| June 22, 2026 | SELL | $439.46 | — / — | -15.7% | -28.9% | Continued AI-driven demand for ARM's chip designs. |
| June 19, 2026 | HOLD | $439.46 | — / — | -15.7% | -28.9% | The PEAD signal suggests a short-term upward drift. |
| June 18, 2026 | BUY | $418.88 | — / — | -23.9% | -38.6% | Continued post-earnings drift driven by AI infrastructure demand. |
| June 17, 2026 | BUY | $396.34 | $475.61 / $336.89 | -17.0% | -36.2% | The post-earnings drift suggests momentum could persist for several weeks. |
| June 16, 2026 | BUY | $412.55 | $474.43 / $350.62 | -9.4% | -33.9% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a short-term upward momentum. |
| June 4, 2026 | HOLD | $411.83 | — / — | -13.0% | -18.1% | Continued AI-driven demand in data centers. |
| June 1, 2026 | BUY | $353.29 | $420.00 / $300.29 | -15.3% | -13.3% | The post-earnings drift pattern suggests continued upward momentum over the coming weeks. |
| May 29, 2026 | BUY | $335.27 | $402.32 / $284.98 | -2.9% | -2.8% | The post-earnings drift pattern suggests a sustained upward move over the coming weeks. |
| May 28, 2026 | BUY | $302.71 | — / — | +17.4% | -0.3% | Continued AI infrastructure demand driving ARM's chip designs. |
| May 27, 2026 | BUY | $321.22 | — / — | +36.0% | +14.9% | The PEAD signal suggests short-term momentum, but fundamental and risk concerns warrant caution. |
| May 8, 2026 | BUY | $213.31 | — / — | -1.9% | +62.4% | Waiting for a clearer market signal or a more favorable risk-reward setup. |
| May 7, 2026 | BUY | $237.30 | — / — | +7.1% | +60.8% | The current market regime is bullish, but the fundamental analysis is bearish, and the risk score is high, necessitating a cautious approach. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.