TradeFlare's AI research teams analysed AAON on 22 market nights between April 14, 2026 and September 22, 2026. Each row is that night's verdict, the price that day, and how the price actually moved afterwards — wins and misses alike. Nothing is edited after the fact.
| Date | Verdict | Price | Target / stop | 5 days later | 20 days later | Why (that night) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 22, 2026 | BUY | $76.40 | $83.64 / $64.94 | +7.4% | not yet | The insider buying suggests a medium-term conviction, and the fundamental strength supports a multi-week outlook. |
| September 18, 2026 | HOLD | $76.43 | — / — | +16.1% | not yet | The current market regime and the stock's technicals do not support a buy decision at this time. |
| September 17, 2026 | HOLD | $75.56 | — / — | +10.3% | not yet | A mandatory trading rule prevents initiating a new position at this time. |
| September 3, 2026 | HOLD | $74.62 | — / — | +2.3% | +6.8% | The current market regime and the stock's technicals do not support a buy decision. |
| September 1, 2026 | HOLD | $75.97 | — / — | +2.2% | +9.8% | The current market regime is neutral, and while there is insider buying, the technical analysis is bearish, creating conflicting signals. |
| August 17, 2026 | BUY | $87.80 | — / — | -13.6% | -15.6% | The stock is currently in a neutral market regime with mixed technical signals and high risk, warranting a cautious approach. |
| August 14, 2026 | BUY | $87.67 | — / — | -9.5% | -14.0% | The stock is currently in a neutral market environment with conflicting signals from the technical and fundamental teams. |
| August 13, 2026 | BUY | $85.23 | $97.76 / $72.45 | -7.8% | -9.0% | The post-earnings drift signal suggests a multi-week upward trend. |
| July 1, 2026 | BUY | $126.86 | — / — | -5.3% | -24.8% | Continued strong demand in the data center cooling segment. |
| June 30, 2026 | BUY | $125.71 | — / — | -14.9% | -33.1% | Continued strong demand in the data center cooling sector driving revenue growth. |
| June 15, 2026 | BUY | $127.19 | — / — | -1.4% | -13.8% | The current market regime is neutral, and the stock's technical analysis is bearish, making it unsuitable for a buy recommendation. |
| June 12, 2026 | BUY | $128.64 | — / — | +7.0% | -11.2% | The scanner triggered a mean-reversion signal, but the overall technical picture is bearish and risk is high. |
| June 10, 2026 | BUY | $129.66 | — / — | +10.1% | -5.8% | The current market and stock setup does not warrant a buy. |
| June 9, 2026 | HOLD | $132.05 | — / — | +0.8% | -15.0% | Continued strong demand in the data center market. |
| May 19, 2026 | HOLD | $135.49 | — / — | +7.1% | +2.4% | Continued strong demand from data centers and AI infrastructure. |
| May 18, 2026 | HOLD | $135.49 | — / — | +5.4% | -2.5% | Continued strong demand from data centers and AI infrastructure. |
| May 15, 2026 | HOLD | $140.00 | — / — | -0.7% | -3.1% | Continued positive earnings momentum and guidance. |
| May 14, 2026 | BUY | $135.37 | — / — | -5.4% | -9.2% | Continued strong demand in specialized HVAC sectors. |
| May 13, 2026 | HOLD | $133.66 | — / — | -1.2% | -5.0% | KEY CATALYSTS: |
| May 12, 2026 | HOLD | $141.70 | — / — | -2.5% | -9.4% | Continued strong demand from data centers and AI infrastructure. |
| May 11, 2026 | HOLD | $139.66 | — / — | -5.5% | -8.5% | Continued positive sentiment driven by strong earnings and backlog. |
| April 14, 2026 | BUY | $93.54 | $97.00 / $89.00 | +2.1% | +42.5% | The technical analysis suggests a short-term upward move, but the fundamental and sentiment analyses indicate potential headwinds. |
Prices are daily closes. "Days later" counts trading days from the close on the day of the call. A HOLD is not a recommendation to buy; only published signals are tracked with a target and stop on the public record. How the research works. Updated October 14, 2026. AI-generated research for educational purposes — it can be wrong and is not financial advice.